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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBluesxxNyx
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)51% (28265–27298, n=55563)86% (1785–293, n=2078)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$1.9M$1.4M$88K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #10Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)72% (89 of 124 open)64% (47 of 73 open)92% (48 of 52 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%81% of 1959 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)7% (won 99% of 3291)13% (won 9% of 255)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)18% (won 100% of 9212)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)20% (won 100% of 9904)6% (won 57% of 111)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)56% (won 100% of 27970)77% (won 97% of 1502)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBluesxxNyx
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $32K——Yes $2.0K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7KNo $15K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $752—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $686No $929—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $218—Yes $1.0K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596Yes $154—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $721Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $354—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $67—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $328Yes $6—
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $30No $200—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $118Over $54—
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $32No $62—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $51Under $12—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $20K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1KNo $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7KNo $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $859Under $2.0K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $1.5K—
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $118—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KYes $153—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $754Yes $279—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $412Under $606—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $837No $174—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $801—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $872—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $956Over $7—
FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $161Over $215—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $185No $35—
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112Yes $79—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112Yes $52—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $83Yes $64—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $131CD Pamplona $6—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $48Over $5—
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $7No $23—
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $18No $6—