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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpolegioRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)42% (418–570, n=988)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$14K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #284PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)71% (117 of 164 open)no open consensus position56% (70 of 125 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%49% of 762 at avg 43¢, ROI +4%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)18% (won 22% of 140)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)51% (won 46% of 389)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)25% (won 67% of 190)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)6% (won 86% of 43)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpolegioRN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K76ers $764—76ers $560
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $29K—No $16K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $40076ers $493—76ers $155
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14KBulls $2.0K—Bulls $99
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $369K——Texans $4.7K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190K——Eagles $12K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $109K——Texans $1.4K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K——Cowboys $4.3K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $638
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320—Rams $24K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $867
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.6K—Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $141—No $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K—FC Barcelona $113
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.6K—Under $420
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $886—Yes $254
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $973—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $847—Under $33
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $367—Over $164
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $320—Yes $99
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $78—Over $340
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $139—Bulls $106
Rio Ave FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $38—Under $8
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $208K——Under $4.5K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K——Giants $8.3K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $40K—No $28K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KColts $63——
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.4K—Broncos $38K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $19K—No $3.8K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $13K——Rams $8.8K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $12K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11K—Yes $5.1K
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.0K—Over $5.0K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $9.6K—Club Atlético de Madrid $137
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $6.5K—Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.8K—No $833
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $5.8K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $214—No $9.1K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.8K—No $1.9K