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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | duratio12 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 45% (25–31, n=56) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $16K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #855 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (46 of 60 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (121 of 172 open) | 56% (80 of 142 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 89% of 65 at avg 56¢, ROI +4% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 14% (won 78% of 9) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 29% (won 79% of 19) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 29% (won 95% of 19) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 28% (won 100% of 18) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
38 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | duratio12 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $142K | — | 76ers $690 | 76ers $305 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16K | — | No $29K | No $16K |
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $400 | — | 76ers $499 | 76ers $155 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls same side · consensus 76ers | Bulls $14K | — | Bulls $2.0K | Bulls $99 |
| Giants vs. Eagles opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $190K | — | — | Eagles $11K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $101K | — | — | Cowboys $2.7K |
| Spread: Giants (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $67K | — | — | Eagles $290 |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | — | Commanders $320 | Rams $17K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | Giants $11K | — | — | Eagles $163 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $8.8K | Yes $614 |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens | — | — | Racing Club de Lens $7.4K | Olympique de Marseille $1 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $859 | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K | FC Barcelona $113 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.4K | Under $420 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.2K | Under $97 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand | — | — | Calvin Hemery $973 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $818 | Yes $254 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $471 | No $524 |
| Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks | — | — | Brown Bears $768 | Lehigh Mountain Hawks $226 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $347 | Over $169 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $320 | Yes $99 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $69 | Over $338 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $334 | Under $30 |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | — | 76ers $153 | Bulls $106 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $239 | Under $1 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $72 | No $87 |
| Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger | — | — | Mitchell Krueger $104 | Samir Banerjee $2 |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 161.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $14 | Over $9 |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $208K | — | — | Under $4.5K |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Giants $68K | — | — | Giants $8.8K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | Colts $49K | — | Colts $63 | — |
| Broncos vs. Panthers same side · consensus Broncos | — | — | Broncos $1.4K | Broncos $43K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $24K | No $19K |
| Spread: Rams (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Rams $13K | — | — | Rams $8.8K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-8.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $18K | — | — | Chiefs $1.6K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $13K | Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K |
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | — | — | CD Cobresal $13K | CD Cobresal $3.5K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $11K | Yes $5.0K |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $9.7K | Club Atlético de Madrid $137 |
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.8K | No $5.8K |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $6.8K | No $1.8K |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $8.4K | No $5 |