Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (17736–17519, n=35255)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)51% (28105–27112, n=55217)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$2.8M$14.8M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #254PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)55% (54 of 98 open)59% (16 of 27 open)64% (44 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)8% (won 61% of 889)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)21% (won 87% of 2410)22% (won 94% of 5704)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)38% (won 95% of 4354)35% (won 99% of 9204)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 99% of 3754)33% (won 100% of 8622)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.7KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6No $2.7K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $149——
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KOver $27
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $71
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16—No $1.1K
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $115—Over $54
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $105—No $6
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $72—Over $10
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $292KYes $4——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $117——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $215——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $2.3KClaire Liu $12K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $4.2KBrowns $65
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $35—Yes $3.5K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $71——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $872
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $1.6KFalcons $27
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $59——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34—Under $378
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $215—No $42
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Over
—Over $188—Over $45
Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-21?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $65—Yes $108
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $41——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $35—Yes $2