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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpGingerMcKennaRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)30% (1484–3486, n=4970)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)50% (20405–20288, n=40693)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$34K$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #22was PM monthly #404PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus77% (116 of 151 open)75% (153 of 204 open)64% (43 of 67 open)67% (30 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Tech −3 pts, n=329——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%38% of 2743 at avg 38¢, ROI −2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)59% (won 2% of 1618)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)4% (won 28% of 100)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)4% (won 75% of 106)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)34% (won 98% of 919)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpGingerMcKennaRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K—Over $1.4KUnder $23K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $2.7KUnder $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $116—Yes $161No $289
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $28Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174—Under $42Under $791
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $757
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $539—Under $246—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $549——Yes $172
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $134—Over $526—
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $338—Over $133—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $132——Yes $3
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499——No $15K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $1.1K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Lakers $2.6K—Lakers $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $811—Quentin Halys $1.2K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.7K—Spurs $265—
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $23—
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $792—Under $398—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $153
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $1.1K—Lakers $16—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $343——Under $768
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $411——Under $677
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.0K——Over $7
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $616—Over $418—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $249—Under $48—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $127——CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $5——No $61