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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHRAImail-.-RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)89% (16–2, n=18)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$61K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #458PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus75% (147 of 197 open)44% (4 of 9 open)59% (34 of 58 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%92% of 12 at avg 85¢, ROI +11%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)8% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)0%22% (won 94% of 5682)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)0%35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)92% (won 100% of 11)33% (won 100% of 8519)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHRAImail-.-RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $600—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192No $249
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $42Under $801
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $750Yes $25K——
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $302Yes $10K——
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $73Yes $8.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will LKP Motor Lublin win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.6K—Yes $1.5K—
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $3.8K—Max Hans Rehberg $82—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $757
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Kilian Feldbausch $241—Sumit Nagal $997—
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $14—Over $1.2K—
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $875—Yes $309—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $287—Ipek Oz $680—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Celtics $219—Hornets $124—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
76ers $188—Cavaliers $57—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $174
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $133——Yes $2
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $39—Over $75—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31—No $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7—No $11—
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2K—No $14K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $494——No $15K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4KNo $3.0K——
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.0K—No $2.9K—
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5K—Over $2.9K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $960
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $857—No $729—
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K—No $197—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $151—Juan Bautista Torres $1.0K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $153
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $251—No $841—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $334——Under $749
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.0K——Over $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $361——Under $595
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
Zsombor Piros $298—Zsombor Piros $644—