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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1S-Worksskadii
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)75% (2542–853, n=3395)44% (193–248, n=441)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$14.9M$3.8M-$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #53PM monthly #214
Sides with the consensus69% (99 of 144 open)53% (38 of 72 open)80% (4 of 5 open)22% (2 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%46% of 363 at avg 46¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)27% (won 14% of 98)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)31% (won 42% of 112)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)26% (won 66% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)16% (won 77% of 57)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1S-Worksskadii
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus T1
——T1 $752KBilibili Gaming $4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Bilibili Gaming $387KT1 $13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $1.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $1.9K——
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $121Seahawks $3.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859Over $3.0K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $7——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446Under $1.4K——
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5KNo $181——
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1KOver $187——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873Yes $315——
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Lakers $758Pistons $307——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471No $524——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837Yes $60——
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Mavericks $499Nets $144——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272No $11——
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
Temple Owls $4Richmond Spiders $268——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6Over $29——
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6Under $2——
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $61KNo $3.5K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $9.9KCoco Gauff $49K——
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $44KNo $6.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.5K——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $6.1KLakers $84——
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1KNo $2.9K——
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
Richmond Spiders $3.7KRichmond Spiders $674——
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $3.6KLakers $652——
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $3.3KLakers $569——
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
T1 $5——T1 $1.7K
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack $896Nevada Wolf Pack $472——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95Under $1.1K——
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $884Mavericks $228——
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $319Lakers $484——
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751Boluspor $44——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702Under $20——
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $612Pistons $55——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173Yes $240——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177Under $41——
North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
same side · consensus North Dakota State Bison
Bakersfield Roadrunners $64Bakersfield Roadrunners $141——
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4No $26——