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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TimeTravelerBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)52% (1446–1352, n=2798)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$156K$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #963 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus72% (114 of 159 open)72% (73 of 102 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won76% of 1749 at avg 36¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 45% of 624)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 90% of 657)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 97% of 352)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 116)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTimeTravelerBreakTheBank00gringo00
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $197Yes $19K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $810No $16K—
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $198Yes $1.3K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $350No $753—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $279No $590—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $72Yes $272K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $199Yes $258K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $355Yes $169K—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $287Yes $73K—
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23Yes $56K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2KYes $39K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $180Yes $37K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $198Yes $26K—
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $46Yes $24K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $575Yes $20K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $48Yes $18K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $154Yes $16K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $253Yes $16K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $109Yes $15K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $58Yes $14K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $377Yes $14K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $70Yes $14K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $168Yes $13K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $81Yes $13K—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $723Yes $11K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $226Yes $11K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $182Yes $11K—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $105Yes $11K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $35Yes $10K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $48Yes $8.6K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $44Yes $6.4K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $85Yes $5.0K—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6KYes $3.0K—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $204Yes $4.4K—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $140Yes $4.1K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $239Yes $2.5K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $265Yes $2.3K—
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $32Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $30Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22Yes $2.1K—
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $259Yes $1.8K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $266Yes $967—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $26Yes $943—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $820Yes $118—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $400Yes $193—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $402Yes $164—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $235Yes $28—
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $47Yes $171—