Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	aHjCz	BreakTheBank	joseph00677	RN1
Record (consensus markets)	31% (3699–8212, n=11911)	45% (547–663, n=1210)	53% (10–9, n=19)	47% (14178–15785, n=29963)
Consensus PnL	$1.0M	$11.0M	$5.6M	$14.8M
Tracked as	PM monthly #107	PM monthly #1	PM monthly #2	PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus	44% (108 of 246 open)	85% (160 of 189 open)	no open consensus position	54% (19 of 35 open)
Strongest topics	NBA +10 pts n=15, ROI +13% Finance +4 pts n=16, ROI +20%	NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49% NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48% Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%	Soccer +22 pts n=11, ROI +33%	College Football +44 pts n=767, ROI +41% MLB +41 pts n=3174, ROI +40% NFL +40 pts n=651, ROI +37%
Weakest topic	Soccer −4 pts, n=1071	—	—	—
Settled positions, side won	33% of 2869 at avg 36¢, ROI +7%	97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%	59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%	94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢	62% (won 1% of 1765)	10% (won 79% of 58)	12% (won 0% of 2)	10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢	6% (won 8% of 161)	36% (won 98% of 200)	6% (won 0% of 1)	22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢	2% (won 58% of 48)	35% (won 99% of 194)	65% (won 73% of 11)	36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up	31% (won 98% of 895)	19% (won 100% of 107)	18% (won 67% of 3)	32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 127 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	aHjCz	BreakTheBank	joseph00677	RN1
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $167	Yes $88K	—	—
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No	No $179	Yes $84K	—	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $180	Yes $68K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No	No $183	Yes $51K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $178	Yes $51K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $183	Yes $40K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $183	Yes $37K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $183	Yes $36K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $184	Yes $35K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $34K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $184	Yes $34K	—	—
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $185	Yes $32K	—	—
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $27K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $24K	—	—
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $24K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $22K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $19K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $18K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $185	Yes $16K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $15K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $14K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $14K	—	—
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $14K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $14K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $13K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $13K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $13K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $176	Yes $13K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $13K	—	—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $13K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $177	Yes $12K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $12K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $12K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No	No $186	Yes $12K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $11K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $11K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $11K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $10K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $9.8K	—	—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $9.2K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $9.1K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $9.1K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $9.1K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $8.1K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $8.1K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $8.1K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $8.1K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $7.6K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $7.5K	—	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $7.1K	—	—