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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| xtxpleasecallme | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 28% (6204–15812, n=22016) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $97K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (101 of 206 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 76% (75 of 99 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=51 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 6593 at avg 29¢, ROI +9% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 65% (won 9% of 4315) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 67% of 504) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 89% of 449) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 99% of 1325) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
36 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.