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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xfFFF6537FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)49% (67–71, n=138)100% (3–0, n=3)75% (753–254, n=1007)55% (201–167, n=368)
Consensus PnL-$415K$9.9K$72K$227K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #737PM monthly #14PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus46% (6 of 13 open)no open consensus position72% (135 of 188 open)68% (85 of 125 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 4 at avg 74¢, ROI −40%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%31% (won 9% of 66)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)0%27% (won 45% of 56)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 2)13% (won 68% of 28)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)50% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 97% of 61)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xfFFF6537FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $4.1K—Cavaliers $493Knicks $9.7K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $95—Vikings $6Vikings $5.7K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-11?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6.3K—No $15K—
Magic vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Jazz $3.4K——Magic $6.2K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $9.2K—Knicks $183—
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $341Magic $5.0K
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Cavaliers $236Knicks $4.9K
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $11Knicks $3.9K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $19Bucks $3.3K
Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahce
opposite sides · consensus Fenerbahce
——Paris Basketball $1.1KFenerbahce $1.2K
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $205Bucks $1.5K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Celtics $146Raptors $1.2K
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $68Under $1.0K
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado State Rams
——Portland State Vikings $5Colorado State Rams $832
Spread: East Carolina Pirates (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina Pirates
——North Carolina A&T Aggies $19East Carolina Pirates $555
Spread: St. Bonaventure Bonnies (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cornell Big Red
——St. Bonaventure Bonnies $5Cornell Big Red $509
Spread: Pepperdine Waves (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pepperdine Waves
——Sam Houston Bearkats $3Pepperdine Waves $469
Spread: Magic (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $72Magic $379
Spread: Indiana State Sycamores (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Milwaukee Panthers
——Indiana State Sycamores $28Milwaukee Panthers $334
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemen
opposite sides · consensus Massachusetts Minutemen
——Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks $3Massachusetts Minutemen $279
Spread: UC Davis Aggies (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus UC Davis Aggies
——Incarnate Word Cardinals $50UC Davis Aggies $97
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $5Nuggets $21
Spread: Furman Paladins (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Holy Cross Crusaders
——Furman Paladins $7Holy Cross Crusaders $12
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Magic $56K——Magic $6.5K
Celtics vs. Raptors
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $2.9KCeltics $23K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
same side · consensus Karolina Muchova
Karolina Muchova $14K—Karolina Muchova $5.4K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
Aryna Sabalenka $17K—Aryna Sabalenka $2.0K—
Lakers vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $1.9KLakers $12K
Lima: Tristan Boyer vs Ryo Tabata
same side · consensus Tristan Boyer
Tristan Boyer $5.0K—Tristan Boyer $3.2K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $218Over $7.7K
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $115Over $7.6K
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $608Bucks $5.1K
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $4Rockets $4.4K
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Knicks $170Knicks $3.6K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $85Over $3.5K
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Knicks $159Knicks $2.9K
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Nets $3Nets $2.7K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $93Over $2.6K
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $80Under $2.6K
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
——Trail Blazers $215Trail Blazers $2.4K
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $188——Thunder $2.5K
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Warriors
——Rockets $1.5KRockets $856
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $89Over $2.2K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $349Bucks $1.8K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers: O/U 146.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $79Under $1.4K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K
Charleston Cougars vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Charleston Cougars
——Charleston Cougars $402Charleston Cougars $864
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Norfolk State Spartans
same side · consensus Old Dominion Monarchs
——Old Dominion Monarchs $678Old Dominion Monarchs $324