Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)47% (591–675, n=1266)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$70K$11.2M$3.3M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #35PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus71% (204 of 288 open)57% (12 of 21 open)62% (235 of 382 open)67% (80 of 119 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicF1 −7 pts, n=25—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 753)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 39% of 61)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 73% of 55)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 1178)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $162No $440K——
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $315No $26K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5Under $5.2K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $358—Yes $2.5K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $420Under $762
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $720Over $5
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $495Yes $192
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5—Yes $663—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Athletic Club $347
Will KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $337Yes $84
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $292—Yes $121—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $10No $288
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $23Yes $273
Will FCV Dender EH win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $78No $129
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1—No $116—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $111Yes $3
Spread: Levante UD (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Levante UD
——CD Tarancón $11Levante UD $86
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $42Yes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $51Under $12
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $42
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $24Under $4
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $642KNo $113K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.0KNo $16K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $13—No $4.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KUnder $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $2.6K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.7KNo $1.2K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.1KYes $161
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $101Under $931
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $311Under $416
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $705Over $5
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $14Yes $175
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $54—No $89—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1—No $137—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $6—No $93—
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $21No $61
SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $27Under $5