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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (591–676, n=1267)46% (560–665, n=1225)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$85K$11.2M$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #34PM monthly #2PM monthly #54PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (189 of 269 open)48% (10 of 21 open)54% (105 of 193 open)65% (116 of 178 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicF1 −7 pts, n=25———
Settled positions, side won61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 753)10% (won 81% of 57)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 39% of 61)36% (won 98% of 201)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 73% of 55)35% (won 99% of 196)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 1178)19% (won 100% of 109)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $160No $482K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
——Alex de Minaur $1.3KTomas Etcheverry $56K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $15KYes $2.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
——Alexandre Aubriot $2.5KHenri Haupt $54
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $238—Yes $1.1K—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3K—Yes $26—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.0KYes $149—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $356—Yes $648—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5—Yes $986—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Parisca
——Eric Vanshelboim $663Ignacio Parisca $302
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $114—Yes $681—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $54—Yes $691—
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $649—Yes $89—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $68No $663
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
——Bruno Pujol Navarro $67Iliyan Radulov $612
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
——Robert Guna $24Tomas Curras Abasolo $319
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $121—Yes $197—
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $252—Yes $26—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $106Under $31
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $23—Yes $98—
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $110—Yes $2—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
——Lisa Pigato $46Gaia Maduzzi $56
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $46—Yes $54—
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $79—Yes $2—
W50 Heraklion: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Daria Yesypchuk
opposite sides · consensus Carlota Martinez Cirez
——Daria Yesypchuk $12Carlota Martinez Cirez $42
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $37—Yes $9—
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3—Yes $10—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1—Yes $6—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
——Lorenzo Musetti $10KLorenzo Musetti $53K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22KYes $117—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $16KYes $1.6K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $215—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $14—No $11K—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $29Over $7.8K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
——Joanna Garland $1.2KJoanna Garland $5.3K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $69—
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $8—No $2.5K—
Will Stjarnan Gardabae win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.2KYes $458
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KYes $59—
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
same side · consensus Pia Lovric
——Pia Lovric $37Pia Lovric $250
W50 Heraklion: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
——Nuria Brancaccio $94Nuria Brancaccio $15
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28Yes $41—