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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1tugator
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)13% (33–224, n=257)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$14.8M$85K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #654
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)71% (116 of 164 open)56% (71 of 126 open)88% (83 of 94 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −34 pts, n=189
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%28% of 228 at avg 56¢, ROI −27%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)4% (won 0% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)73% (won 10% of 167)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)5% (won 36% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)18% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

39 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1tugator
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K76ers $76476ers $712—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $29KNo $16K—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $40076ers $56576ers $155—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14KBulls $1.4KBulls $80—
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $419K—Texans $4.4K—
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190K—Eagles $11K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K—Cowboys $3.2K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K—Eagles $213—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320Rams $24K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $143—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.0KOlympique de Marseille $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $141No $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8KFC Barcelona $113—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.6KUnder $420—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $886Yes $254—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $973Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $866Under $34—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $371Over $185—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $320Yes $99—
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $78Over $340—
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $167Bulls $106—
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 161.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8Over $9—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $208K—Under $4.5K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K—Giants $8.8K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $34KNo $27K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KColts $63——
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.4KBroncos $38K—
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24K—Colts $7.9K—
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $13K—Rams $8.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $13KClub Atlético de Madrid $3.6K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13KCD Cobresal $3.5K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $5.1K—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $10KNo $3.9K—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.0KOver $5.0K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $9.7KClub Atlético de Madrid $137—
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $6.5KStefan Kozlov $3.2K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.8KNo $833—
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8KNo $5.8K—
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.8KNo $1.9K—
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.0KNo $536—