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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | white-rabbit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 58% (400–289, n=689) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $4.1M | $14.8M | $333K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #780 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (35 of 40 open) | 68% (109 of 160 open) | 54% (33 of 61 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 58% of 605 at avg 51¢, ROI +12% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 28% (won 5% of 167) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 17% (won 32% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 25% (won 86% of 153) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 30% (won 97% of 180) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | white-rabbit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Como 1907 | — | Como 1907 $22K | FC Internazionale Milano $11K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $7.9K | Yes $1.4K | — |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.4K | Yes $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.7K | Under $2.7K | — |
| Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AIK | — | AIK $3.5K | BK Hacken $465 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $6 | — |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.5K | Yes $1.5K | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.8K | Under $5 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | No $366 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $851 | Yes $326 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | No $11 | — |
| Spread: PSV (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | — | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $15 | PSV $113 | — |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $651K | No $45K | — | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | Colts $110K | Colts $91 | — | — |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $57K | No $4.8K | — |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $29K | No $8.7K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Toby Samuel | — | Toby Samuel $5.9K | Toby Samuel $31K | — |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $24K | No $6.9K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.3K | No $67 | — |
| Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.9K | No $97 | — |
| Will Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.3K | No $121 | — |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.2K | Yes $896 | — |
| Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | No $49 | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | Yes $97 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $800 | No $55 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | Under $20 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | 76ers $592 | 76ers $121 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | Under $41 | — |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $22 | Yes $89 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | Over $29 | — |