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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpJa888ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)85% (33–6, n=39)63% (1096–631, n=1727)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$4.1M-$4.6K$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #402PM monthly #108PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (91 of 123 open)no open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)57% (36 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%80% of 35 at avg 79¢, ROI +9%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 50% of 2)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)17% (won 67% of 6)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)71% (won 92% of 25)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpJa888ndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.4K——Over $136
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
Penguins $14——Ducks $966
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Nets $155——Mavericks $763
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $500——Bucks $199
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $222——Over $251
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $353——Over $11
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6——Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17K——Coco Gauff $58K
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $14K——Celtics $33K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $15K——No $612
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9K——Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.1K——Yes $2.3K
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.7K——Over $1.0K
Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K——No $7
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $2.5K——Mavericks $1.7K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $2.4K——Celtics $1.3K
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.9K——Celtics $1.5K
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $3.3K——Bucks $112
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $2.2K——Mavericks $1.0K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.9K——Mavericks $1.1K
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.8K——Over $758
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.2K——Mavericks $623
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $306——Celtics $1.2K
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $757——Mavericks $575
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $370——Giles Hussey $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4——No $26