Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	SnapElectionAvoider	RN1	0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241	BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)	47% (968–1076, n=2044)	47% (13855–15338, n=29193)	56% (101–79, n=180)	45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL	$207K	$13.4M	$3.5M	$10.6M
Tracked as	was PM monthly #391 + pinned	PM monthly #24 + pinned	was PM monthly #373	PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus	84% (152 of 182 open)	100% (2 of 2 open)	no open consensus position	88% (130 of 147 open)
Strongest topics	Finance +13 pts n=56, ROI +5% Elections +3 pts n=877, ROI +2% Economy +8 pts n=99, ROI +11%	College Football +44 pts n=767, ROI +41% MLB +41 pts n=3174, ROI +40% NFL +40 pts n=651, ROI +37%	MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49% Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47% Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%	NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48% Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic	Crypto −26 pts, n=16	—	—	—
Settled positions, side won	53% of 1681 at avg 48¢, ROI +2%	94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%	94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%	97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢	42% (won 14% of 709)	10% (won 57% of 2537)	7% (won 75% of 8)	10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢	10% (won 44% of 165)	22% (won 94% of 5518)	26% (won 93% of 29)	36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢	11% (won 69% of 177)	36% (won 99% of 8928)	42% (won 96% of 47)	35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up	37% (won 94% of 630)	32% (won 100% of 7821)	24% (won 96% of 27)	19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

104 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	SnapElectionAvoider	RN1	0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241	BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $947	—	—	Yes $57K
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2.0K	—	—	Yes $22K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1.5K	—	—	Yes $22K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $374	—	—	Yes $22K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1.4K	—	—	Yes $21K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $122	—	—	Yes $21K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $934	—	—	Yes $17K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $817	—	—	Yes $17K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $103	—	—	Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1.2K	—	—	Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $39	—	—	Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $101	—	—	Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $838	—	—	Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $476	—	—	Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $374	—	—	Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $882	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1.0K	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $743	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $84	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $20	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $492	—	—	Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $365	—	—	Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $915	—	—	Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $193	—	—	Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $629	—	—	Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $590	—	—	Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $542	—	—	Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $441	—	—	Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $32	—	—	Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1.0K	—	—	Yes $7.9K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $530	—	—	Yes $7.9K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $438	—	—	Yes $7.9K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $533	—	—	Yes $7.2K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $349	—	—	Yes $7.2K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $384	—	—	Yes $6.8K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $306	—	—	Yes $6.8K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $663	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $525	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $451	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $311	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $199	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $720	—	—	Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $374	—	—	Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $328	—	—	Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $164	—	—	Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $526	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $475	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $468	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $464	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $449	—	—	Yes $5.0K