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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)97% (3738–96, n=3834)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)50% (20828–20526, n=41354)
Consensus PnL-$31K$3.3M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #837PM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (184 of 253 open)57% (20 of 35 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −6 pts, n=13Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won98% of 3462 at avg 97¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 7)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 36% of 14)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 56% of 32)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 99% of 3409)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $2.7KUnder $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831Yes $61No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $161No $289
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102Under $1.1KUnder $945
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42Under $791
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.6K—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $422—Under $768
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754Yes $375—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $705Yes $140
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $273Mary Stoiana $561—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $548—Yes $172
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280—Yes $6
M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand
opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand
—Robert Guna $83Robin Bertrand $172—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $103—Over $54
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $125—Yes $3
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $109—Yes $2
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $8Tom Gentzsch $52—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $4.7KColeman Wong $10K—
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
—Lucrezia Stefanini $702Lucrezia Stefanini $3.8K—
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $1.0KMatteo Martineau $2.4K—
W75 Petange: Lisa Zaar vs Lea Nilsson
same side · consensus Lisa Zaar
—Lisa Zaar $30Lisa Zaar $3.2K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $104
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $154
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $411—Under $677
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $7
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $746—Yes $270
W75 Petange: Jessika Ponchet vs Veronika Podrez
same side · consensus Veronika Podrez
—Veronika Podrez $39Veronika Podrez $263—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $206—No $42
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $135—Yes $95
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $102—Yes $79
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6—No $60