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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpNM-Pprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)56% (8189–6394, n=14583)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M-$212K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #347PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)65% (128 of 197 open)67% (70 of 104 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 100% of 257)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)21% (won 100% of 860)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)21% (won 100% of 888)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)52% (won 100% of 2130)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpNM-Pprimm
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $226—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7KNo $1.4K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $1.3K—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $660No $1.1K—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $168Lions $902—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $91Cowboys $815—
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $680—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $163Seahawks $479—
76ers vs. Bulls
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $22576ers $347—
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $392No $161—
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $341Panthers $212—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $218Rams $332—
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $67Chiefs $407—
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $131Yes $117—
Nets vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $98Mavericks $4—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1No $77—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $44KNo $1.1K—
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $42KNo $1.1K—
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
——49ers $89749ers $40K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $3.0K—
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.0K—
Will Club Brugge win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $754—
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $14KUnder $67—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.2K—
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14KYes $22—
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.4KNo $1.2K—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.7KNo $1.7K—
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $6.8KNo $823—
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.4KNo $425—
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.0KNo $540—
Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.5KNo $760—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.3KOver $427—
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.2KUnder $398—
Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $3.2KUnder $17—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.6KNo $665—
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $407—
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $166—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $23—
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.0KNo $399—
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $742No $634—
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $761No $459—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $647No $494—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $797No $289—
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $566No $349—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $739No $133—
Will FC Zurich win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $726No $35—
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $344No $294—
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $484Kings $113—
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $435Under $49—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $379No $31—