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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBluesyoucanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)85% (5221–893, n=6114)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$3.1M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #8PM monthly #703
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)63% (200 of 316 open)70% (100 of 143 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=517, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=45, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%100% of 608 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)7% (won 99% of 2623)9% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 100% of 7839)16% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)22% (won 100% of 8452)23% (won 99% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)51% (won 100% of 19323)53% (won 100% of 322)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBluesyoucanbuythisbot
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7KNo $1.2KYes $33
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420Under $762Under $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $720Over $5Under $24
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $495Yes $192No $4
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Athletic Club $347Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10No $288Yes $7
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $42Yes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $21KUnder $833
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $16KNo $378
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KUnder $3.2KUnder $86
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $1.5KUnder $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $2.6KNo $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $931Under $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $705Over $5Over $28
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $311No $26K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.1KNo $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7.3KOver $23
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $5.2K—
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
—FC Andorra $344CD Tenerife $2.0K—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23Yes $273—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Athletic Club $223Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $111Yes $3—
Spread: Levante UD (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Levante UD
—CD Tarancón $11Levante UD $86—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $42Yes $36—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $51Under $12—
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $24Under $4—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.1KNo $3.3K—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5KYes $6.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.9KNo $234
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.6KUnder $2.4K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $1.5K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.1KYes $161—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $142Under $715—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $741Under $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $311Under $416—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $645Under $44—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—Yes $18
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $317—Yes $2
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14Yes $175—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6—
Spread: CD Tenerife (-3.5)
same side · consensus FC Andorra
—FC Andorra $98FC Andorra $16—
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $21No $61—
RSC Anderlecht Futures vs. Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4Under $3—