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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FeedTheBigBirdFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (33–34, n=67)50% (65–65, n=130)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$35K-$53K—
Tracked as—PM monthly #14PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (169 of 246 open)52% (43 of 83 open)69% (45 of 65 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up—42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFeedTheBigBirdFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $1.8KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $445Under $1.4KUnder $67
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $836Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $45Over $29Under $12
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $94Under $1.1KUnder $872
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41Under $801
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7K—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.3KYes $2—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $752
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $229
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $76
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KOver $22—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $162Cavaliers $726—
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $689Rockets $119—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $93Rockets $669—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Warriors $481Pelicans $128—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $316Under $108—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $328—Yes $6
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Grizzlies $41Raptors $126—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $105—Over $54
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $32—No $62
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $32—Yes $3
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Clement Tabur $2.6KClement Tabur $25K—
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KUnder $13K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K—
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9KNo $39—
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3.4KRockets $1.5K—
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $683Under $2.7K—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $605Rockets $2.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
Lima: Nicolas Jarry vs Maximo Zeitune
same side · consensus Nicolas Jarry
—Maximo Zeitune $68Maximo Zeitune $2.8K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $142Rockets $2.4K—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1KOver $1.0K—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.8KPelicans $158—
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $136
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153