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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | RN1 | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 34% (143–279, n=422) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $14.9M | -$339K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | was PM monthly #874 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (97 of 134 open) | 58% (39 of 67 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | Esports −2 pts, n=408 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 32% (won 21% of 131) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 55% (won 41% of 227) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 13% (won 43% of 54) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
29 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | RN1 | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $273 | — | T1 $42K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Jazz $1.7K | Timberwolves $2.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $859 | Over $3.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Nets $1.1K | Mavericks $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.4K | Over $136 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | Under $1.4K | — |
| Flyers vs. Flames opposite sides · consensus Flyers | Flames $640 | Flyers $839 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | Yes $315 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $85 | Celtics $921 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | No $524 | — |
| Penguins vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Ducks | Penguins $23 | Ducks $945 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Nets $155 | Mavericks $763 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | Yes $60 | — |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $817 | Over $11 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $500 | Bucks $199 | — |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $231 | Over $224 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | No $11 | — |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $86 | Over $32 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6 | Over $29 | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $17K | Coco Gauff $58K | — |
| Celtics vs. Bucks same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $5.1K | Celtics $33K | — |
| Nets vs. Mavericks same side · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $4.6K | Mavericks $18K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | Patrick Zahraj $5.9K | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K | — |
| Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $8.9K | No $208 | — |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.8K | Under $2.8K | — |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.6K | Under $2.9K | — |
| Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.6K | Over $1.0K | — |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.3K | Under $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Nets | Mavericks $1.9K | Mavericks $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-30.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $2.8K | Bucks $112 | — |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.9K | Under $744 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-9.5) same side · consensus Nets | Mavericks $1.2K | Mavericks $996 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-11.5) same side · consensus Nets | Mavericks $1.2K | Mavericks $596 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $472 | Celtics $1.3K | — |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $179 | Over $1.5K | — |
| Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | No $7 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $279 | Celtics $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-10.5) same side · consensus Nets | Mavericks $757 | Mavericks $482 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | Under $20 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | Yes $240 | — |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun same side · consensus Giles Hussey | Giles Hussey $370 | Giles Hussey $24 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |