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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)53% (2783–2450, n=5233)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3K$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #981PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus66% (125 of 190 open)71% (34 of 48 open)63% (25 of 40 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=962, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%98% of 1044 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)2% (won 96% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)32% (won 98% of 337)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)51% (won 98% of 533)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)14% (won 97% of 149)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1S-Works
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.5KOver $10Under $554—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Alexandra Eala $6.8K—Claire Liu $12K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7KNo $302——
Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9K—Yes $4—
FC Emmen vs. MVV Maastricht: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.7KOver $7——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $2.3K—Sofya Lansere $114—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851—Yes $326—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $561No $24——
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5No $511——
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $328Yes $173——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $213Under $7——
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $197Under $2——
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $109Yes $77——
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Crystal Palace FC
Liverpool FC $165Crystal Palace FC $19——
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $129SD Eibar $5——
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $110No $22——
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $117Over $2——
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $40Under $7——
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $19Ciryl Gane $10——
Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9No $10——
Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8Under $3——
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $120KNo $967——
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $62K—No $6.8K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $52KNo $1.0K——
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $32KNo $985——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $1.2K—Lorenzo Sonego $14K—
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6K—No $4.9K—
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.2K—Under $27—
Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $6.6KNo $7——
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.7KNo $10——
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
same side · consensus AIK
AIK $2.1KAIK $10——
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $340—Under $922—
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $10——
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $11——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Will Club Brugge win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $5——
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $926—No $50—
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $816No $17——
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $797No $10——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—