Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	TimeTraveler	00gringo00	0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241	BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)	52% (1446–1352, n=2798)	75% (6–2, n=8)	56% (101–79, n=180)	45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL	$156K	$3.5M	$3.5M	$10.6M
Tracked as	was PM monthly #963 + pinned	was PM monthly #19	was PM monthly #373	PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus	72% (114 of 159 open)	no open consensus position	no open consensus position	73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics	College Football +56 pts n=329, ROI +54% NBA +55 pts n=118, ROI +9% MLB +55 pts n=107, ROI +21%	none with 10+ settled	MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49% Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47% Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%	NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48% Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic	—	—	—	—
Settled positions, side won	76% of 1749 at avg 36¢, ROI +3%	86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%	94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%	98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢	36% (won 45% of 624)	0%	7% (won 75% of 8)	10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢	38% (won 90% of 657)	0%	26% (won 93% of 29)	36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢	20% (won 97% of 352)	100% (won 86% of 7)	42% (won 96% of 47)	35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up	7% (won 100% of 116)	0%	24% (won 96% of 27)	20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	TimeTraveler	00gringo00	0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241	BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $197	—	—	Yes $19K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No	Yes $810	—	—	No $16K
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $198	—	—	Yes $1.3K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No	Yes $350	—	—	No $753
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No	Yes $279	—	—	No $590
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $72	—	—	Yes $272K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $199	—	—	Yes $258K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes	Yes $355	—	—	Yes $169K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $287	—	—	Yes $73K
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $23	—	—	Yes $56K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1.2K	—	—	Yes $39K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No	Yes $180	—	—	Yes $37K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $198	—	—	Yes $26K
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $46	—	—	Yes $24K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $575	—	—	Yes $20K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $48	—	—	Yes $18K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $154	—	—	Yes $16K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $253	—	—	Yes $16K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $109	—	—	Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $58	—	—	Yes $14K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes	Yes $377	—	—	Yes $14K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $70	—	—	Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $168	—	—	Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $81	—	—	Yes $13K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $723	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $226	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $182	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $105	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $35	—	—	Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus No	Yes $48	—	—	Yes $8.6K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $44	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $85	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1.6K	—	—	Yes $3.0K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $204	—	—	Yes $4.4K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $140	—	—	Yes $4.1K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $239	—	—	Yes $2.5K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $265	—	—	Yes $2.3K
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $32	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $30	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $22	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $259	—	—	Yes $1.8K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $266	—	—	Yes $967
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No	Yes $26	—	—	Yes $943
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $820	—	—	Yes $118
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $400	—	—	Yes $193
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $403	—	—	Yes $164
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No	Yes $235	—	—	Yes $28
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $47	—	—	Yes $171