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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (152–168, n=320)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$12K$8.4M$1.4M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (10 of 18 open)89% (33 of 37 open)65% (143 of 221 open)57% (39 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=64, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=40, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +46 pts n=10, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won100% of 124 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 68)36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 54)35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $30—Under $626Over $17
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $26—Under $3.0KUnder $4.4K
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $31—Lakers $556Lakers $485
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $30—No $578No $34
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $12KOver $1.8K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
——Tomas Etcheverry $4.6KMax Dahlin $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
——Tom Gentzsch $5.2KMax Houkes $698
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $872Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.3KUnder $36
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $169Cavaliers $708
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $516Over $241
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $619Yes $7
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $30—Warriors $481—
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $412Under $56
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $256No $12
Will FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $148Yes $85
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
——Nuggets $25Rockets $146
Will AZ Picerno win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $30—Yes $59—
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
——Clement Tabur $2.1KClement Tabur $25K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.4K
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $16KBills $77—
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $44—No $14K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
——Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $636Under $2.6K
Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.7KNo $45
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
——Geoffrey Blancaneaux $169Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Pelicans $1.8KPelicans $158
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $29—No $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $29—Rockets $1.1K—
Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați?
same side · consensus No
——No $264No $667
Pelicans vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $34—Pelicans $858—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $333Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $364Lakers $416
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
——Pistons $186Pistons $248
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $31Under $261
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $290No $2
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Cavaliers $170Cavaliers $111
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Raptors $162Raptors $116