Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
canupdatelateronFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)64% (641–362, n=1003)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL$28K$4.1M$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #924PM monthly #16PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)73% (85 of 116 open)64% (35 of 55 open)66% (41 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicTennis −3 pts, n=72Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won9% of 420 at avg 6¢, ROI +1%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢94% (won 7% of 395)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 0% of 8)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 60% of 10)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcanupdatelateronFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4KUnder $67
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6Over $29Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1KUnder $872
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41Under $801
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7K—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.2KOver $1.3K—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.5KOver $106—
Spread: Heat (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $2.2KKings $1.8K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $752
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $615Clippers $1.1K—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $686—No $929
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Pelicans $36Clippers $714—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $305No $216——
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
—FK Kolos Kovalivka $217—FK Polissia $270
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280—Yes $6
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $138—Yes $2
Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $12No $6——
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58K—
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $17KHeat $36K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $13KClippers $35K—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Clippers $10KClippers $1.8K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
—Sam Ryan Ziegann $1.4KSam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K—
Spread: Heat (-13.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $4.7KKings $1.1K—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 240.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.2KUnder $1.9K—
Spread: Heat (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $3.3KKings $845—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8KUnder $570—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.7KClippers $824—
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $117
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $319—Under $718
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $367—Under $606