Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	xtxpleasecallme	sainttroplay	00gringo00	BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)	28% (6207–15828, n=22035)	71% (10–4, n=14)	75% (6–2, n=8)	45% (535–643, n=1178)
Consensus PnL	$95K	$4.4M	$3.5M	$10.6M
Tracked as	PM monthly #35 + pinned	was PM monthly #11	was PM monthly #19	PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus	49% (109 of 224 open)	no open consensus position	no open consensus position	71% (83 of 117 open)
Strongest topics	Politics +15 pts n=378, ROI +9% Mentions +11 pts n=758, ROI +3% Entertainment +11 pts n=811, ROI +3%	Soccer +51 pts n=10, ROI +52%	none with 10+ settled	NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48% Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic	MLB −4 pts, n=51	—	—	—
Settled positions, side won	37% of 6593 at avg 29¢, ROI +9%	100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%	86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%	98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢	65% (won 9% of 4315)	0%	0%	10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢	8% (won 67% of 504)	50% (won 100% of 5)	0%	36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢	7% (won 89% of 449)	50% (won 100% of 5)	100% (won 86% of 7)	35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up	20% (won 99% of 1325)	0%	0%	20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	xtxpleasecallme	sainttroplay	00gringo00	BreakTheBank
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No	Yes $106	—	—	No $407K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $220	—	—	Yes $80K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No	No $823	—	—	Yes $36K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes	Yes $285	—	—	No $36K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No	No $265	—	—	No $441K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes	Yes $386	—	—	Yes $169K
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No	Yes $88	—	—	Yes $56K
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $22	—	—	Yes $55K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $40	—	—	Yes $49K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No	Yes $175	—	—	Yes $27K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $12	—	—	Yes $26K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes	No $243	—	—	No $24K
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $24K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $19K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $19K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $18K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $18K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $16K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	—	Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $12K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	—	Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus No	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $8.6K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus No	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $8.6K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $7.9K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus No	Yes $1	—	—	Yes $7.2K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus No	Yes $1	—	—	Yes $4.4K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $193	—	—	Yes $4.1K
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $1.3K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No	No $219	—	—	No $598
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus No	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $760
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $4	—	—	Yes $129
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $77
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus No	Yes $5	—	—	Yes $47