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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4516–3391, n=7907) | 52% (6417–5939, n=12356) | 41% (3317–4794, n=8111) | 50% (20465–20314, n=40779) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $3.3M | -$465K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #286 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (15 of 20 open) | 74% (133 of 180 open) | 72% (693 of 968 open) | 68% (42 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
31 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | Yes $2.6K | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Under $5.2K |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $757 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $422 | — | Under $768 |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $945 | — | No $168 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $117 | — | No $925 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $548 | — | Yes $172 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | — | Athletic Club $345 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $64 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $116 | — | No $289 |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $280 | — | Yes $6 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $103 | — | Over $54 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $125 | — | Yes $3 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $109 | — | Yes $2 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $51K | — | Yes $485 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | — | Under $22K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $3.1K |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $77 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $13K | Quentin Halys $861 | — | — |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $13K | — | No $109 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | No $2.7K |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.1K | — | Yes $86 | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | No $176 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $2.6K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | Yes $78 | — |
| Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | No $104 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $154 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $411 | — | Under $677 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $102 | — | Under $945 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | — | Over $7 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $746 | — | Yes $270 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $831 | — | No $172 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $174 | — | Under $791 |
| Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23? same side · consensus No | — | No $206 | — | No $42 |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $135 | — | Yes $95 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $138 | — | Yes $65 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $102 | — | Yes $79 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $127 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $56 | — | No $59 | — |
| Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $6 | — | No $60 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Under $12 |