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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1Sausesantana
Record (consensus markets)49% (69–71, n=140)76% (821–266, n=1087)66% (489–253, n=742)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL-$392K$128K-$129K$737
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #13PM monthly #46 + pinnedPM monthly #826
Sides with the consensus29% (4 of 14 open)70% (130 of 186 open)67% (10 of 15 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 214 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%100% of 1 at avg 64¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 12)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)26% (won 45% of 56)13% (won 100% of 26)0%
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)14% (won 69% of 29)30% (won 100% of 62)100% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 63)51% (won 100% of 106)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1Sausesantana
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
opposite sides · consensus Mirra Andreeva
Aryna Sabalenka $21KAryna Sabalenka $3.8KMirra Andreeva $10K—
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
opposite sides · consensus Mattia Bellucci
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg $10KMattia Bellucci $5.4K——
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $8.9KKnicks $187——
Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $332Over $230—
Will Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $232No $252—
Spread: Londrina EC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clube Náutico Capibaribe
—Clube Náutico Capibaribe $66Londrina EC $2—
Dota 2: Time to Sleep vs CyberHero (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B
same side · consensus Time to Sleep
CyberHero $5.4KCyberHero $643——
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $3.9KCavaliers $660——
Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $132Over $73—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $95Vikings $6——
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $41Over $59—