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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)40% (1296–1932, n=3228)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)50% (20851–20547, n=41398)
Consensus PnL-$21K$3.6M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #19PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus40% (4 of 10 open)72% (127 of 176 open)60% (24 of 40 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won26% of 1255 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 891)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 149)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 147)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192No $249
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $279Ipek Oz $678—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Will Inter San Carlos win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $427No $221—
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $10No $597——
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $81Warriors $500—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $547——
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $444Warriors $107—
Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $437Over $82—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $15No $359——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
—James Kent Trotter $953James Kent Trotter $19K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $15K
M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba
same side · consensus Blu Baker
—Blu Baker $3.7KBlu Baker $289—
Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $1.7K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $656No $685—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Canucks $22Canucks $1.2K—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $858Under $322—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $337—Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $361—Under $595
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $578Over $289—
Rubio Nu leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $462No $267—
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
—Canucks $260Canucks $354—
Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $575Under $34—
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $145No $369—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8Under $313—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $97—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $18Under $11—