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PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (1390–2112, n=3502)45% (547–663, n=1210)61% (397–249, n=646)47% (14202–15801, n=30003)
Consensus PnL$23K$11.0M$194K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #127PM monthly #1PM monthly #105PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (492 of 771 open)84% (158 of 189 open)100% (1 of 1 open)56% (20 of 36 open)
Strongest topics
  • Economy +12 pts n=60, ROI −15%
  • Elections +7 pts n=180, ROI −15%
  • F1 +9 pts n=25, ROI −11%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=403———
Settled positions, side won48% of 1674 at avg 48¢, ROI −19%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 4% of 401)10% (won 79% of 58)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢45% (won 43% of 745)36% (won 98% of 200)56% (won 99% of 224)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 56% of 114)35% (won 99% of 194)33% (won 100% of 134)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 414)19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $447No $407K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.6KYes $295K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $178No $265K——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7KNo $231K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.6KYes $183K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $31No $117K——
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $972Yes $35K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $149No $30K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0KYes $24K——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $410Yes $22K——
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $91Yes $21K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.4KYes $15K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $74No $15K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $918Yes $13K——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $124No $12K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $8.5KYes $3.0K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6.3KYes $3.0K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.1KYes $3.0K——
Will Republicans win Maine and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $5.1K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.3KYes $3.0K——
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $962Yes $4.3K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.7KYes $3.0K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $841Yes $3.0K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $934Yes $2.1K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $610No $753——
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $883Yes $216——
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $832No $122——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $167No $624——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $924Yes $278K——
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $244No $187K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $285No $125K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7KYes $100K——
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $596Yes $93K——
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $775Yes $83K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $161Yes $77K——
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $234Yes $61K——
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $187Yes $46K——
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $166Yes $46K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
same side · consensus No
Yes $111Yes $44K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $162Yes $34K——
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $189Yes $34K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $172Yes $33K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $360Yes $32K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $826No $31K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $802No $27K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $160Yes $22K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $91Yes $22K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $149Yes $19K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $677Yes $15K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $92Yes $15K——