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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (17429–17311, n=34740)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$2.8M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9was PM monthly #584PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)69% (96 of 140 open)55% (62 of 113 open)55% (35 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%92% of 12930 at avg 61¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)8% (won 60% of 989)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)21% (won 87% of 2698)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)38% (won 95% of 4911)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)34% (won 99% of 4332)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.5KOver $1.7K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $6.3KPistons $113Lakers $84
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $3.4KPistons $446Lakers $660
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $121Seahawks $446Seahawks $3.8K
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $776Pistons $46Pistons $307
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5KNo $329No $3.7K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $2.4K——Texans $7.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
——Cardinals $91Seahawks $4.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
——Texans $16Chargers $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $172—
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
—Ciryl Gane $4Josh Hokit $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7KYes $12—
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.2K—No $153
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $996No $176—
Goiás EC vs. AA Ponte Preta: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $900Over $162—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $651Yes $138—
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $402Nets $246—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $499—Nets $144
Will Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $428—
Nagasaki Velca vs. Sendai 89ers
opposite sides · consensus Sendai 89ers
—Sendai 89ers $244Nagasaki Velca $194—
Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $350Yes $7—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $183Over $36—
Will FC RFS win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132Yes $47—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $138Yes $34—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $145Over $18—
Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $100Yes $48—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6—Over $29
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6—Under $2
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $4—
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $56K—No $4.8K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23K—Yes $127—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $266—
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2—
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $6.0KJazz $116
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $4.1K—Lakers $569
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $4.6KJanice Tjen $3—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.5K—Yes $77—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $298Heat $1.9K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $36—