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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Flaznorp | NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6510–6010, n=12520) | 83% (5377–1107, n=6484) | 47% (14126–15613, n=29739) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $47K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #529 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (191 of 270 open) | 78% (100 of 129 open) | 56% (18 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 6% (won 100% of 256) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 21% (won 100% of 859) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 22% (won 100% of 884) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
67 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | NM-P | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $14K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.3K | No $1.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $572 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | Over $45 | — |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $912 | Yes $315 | — |
| Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | Yes $25 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | Taylor Fritz $537 | Arthur Fils $533 | — |
| Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $116 | No $941 | — |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $701 | No $310 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $607 | No $145 | — |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $553 | No $29 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | Cardinals $170 | Seahawks $398 | — |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $354 | No $187 | — |
| Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $487 | Yes $46 | — |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $273 | Yes $198 | — |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $287 | No $142 | — |
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Broncos $300 | Panthers $26 | — |
| Lions vs. Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Lions | Dolphins $108 | Lions $169 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Heat $153 | Warriors $61 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $14 | — | Under $181 |
| Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $37 | No $31 | — |
| Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4 | Yes $63 | — |
| Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $15 | No $36 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | Over $28 |
| W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric | Pia Lovric $21 | — | Oriana Gniewkowska $5 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea $28K | — | Sorana Cirstea $21K |
| Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | Anastasia Zakharova $23K | — | Anastasia Zakharova $17K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | Yes $802 | — |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.2K | — | Yes $5.5K |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $5.2K | No $871 | — |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | No $4.1K | — |
| Will FC Bunyodkor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $2.5K | — | No $747 |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.2K | — | Over $1.9K |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $289 | No $2.3K | — |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | No $1.0K | — |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $867 | No $1.3K | — |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.4K | No $486 | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov | Toby Samuel $63 | — | Toby Samuel $1.6K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | No $4 | — |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | No $751 | No $816 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $593 | No $841 | — |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $810 | No $620 | — |
| RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | Under $288 | — |