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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpNM-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4516–3391, n=7907)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)83% (5313–1094, n=6407)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$41K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #70PM monthly #22PM monthly #524PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (14 of 19 open)72% (142 of 196 open)75% (60 of 80 open)49% (17 of 35 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpNM-PRN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $249No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KUnder $1.3KOver $1.5K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KYes $2.6KNo $1.4K—
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Clippers $1.6KHeat $1.5KClippers $975
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $494Over $14
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13KQuentin Halys $861—Quentin Halys $1.3K
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $103Clippers $910Clippers $455
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2KNo $692—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $1.3K—
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.9KOver $13—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754—Yes $375
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $601No $415—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831—Yes $61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $667No $142—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $309—No $10
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $170Seahawks $13—
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $67Chiefs $4—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Heat vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Heat
—Clippers $9.4KClippers $674—
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
—Alexandre Muller $1.2K—Alexandre Muller $4.9K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $217—
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $1.2K—
Spread: Heat (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.5KClippers $870—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2KNo $17—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $688—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $23—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $156—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $810No $620—
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $278No $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102—Under $1.1K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $7—
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $100No $956—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $843No $147—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $413No $460—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $739No $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $233No $439—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $467No $181—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $453No $172—
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $442No $75—
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $390No $107—