← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6417–5939, n=12356) | 66% (901–474, n=1375) | 83% (5313–1094, n=6407) | 47% (13863–15370, n=29233) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $4.5M | $41K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #525 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (131 of 179 open) | 72% (109 of 151 open) | 78% (64 of 82 open) | 52% (14 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 6% (won 100% of 256) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 859) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 884) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
45 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | NM-P | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | — | Yes $249 | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $14K | — | Under $1.3K | Over $1.5K |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.2K | — | No $761 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.6K | — | No $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.1K | — | — | Over $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | No $1.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $754 | — | — | Yes $375 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $601 | — | No $415 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | — | No $529 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $831 | — | — | Yes $61 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $667 | — | No $142 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $14 | — | — | Under $181 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | Cardinals $170 | — | Seahawks $20 | — |
| Jets vs. Chiefs opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Jets $67 | — | Chiefs $4 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | — | Over $28 |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $4.2K | — | No $217 | — |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | No $1.2K | — |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | No $17 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $861 | — | — | Quentin Halys $1.3K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | No $688 | — |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | No $490 | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | No $23 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $278 | — | No $1.2K | — |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $810 | — | No $620 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $102 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | No $7 | — |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | No $100 | — | No $956 | — |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $843 | — | No $147 | — |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $413 | — | No $460 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $739 | — | No $44 | — |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $467 | — | No $276 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki | Yosuke Watanuki $412 | — | — | Yosuke Watanuki $286 |
| Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $233 | — | No $439 | — |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $453 | — | No $172 | — |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | No $442 | — | No $75 | — |
| Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $390 | — | No $107 | — |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $336 | — | No $144 | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $85 | — | No $313 | — |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $255 | — | No $131 | — |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro same side · consensus Harold Mayot | Harold Mayot $243 | — | — | Harold Mayot $123 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $168 | — | No $194 | — |
| Will FC København win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $171 | — | Yes $185 | — |
| Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $173 | — | No $130 | — |