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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1Robbb
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)83% (2411–480, n=2891)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.6M$14.9M$95K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #110PM monthly #25 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus67% (97 of 144 open)72% (70 of 97 open)54% (40 of 74 open)80% (84 of 105 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1Robbb
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $24K—Yes $630
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $121—Seahawks $3.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6K—No $145—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Lakers $769—Pistons $307—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $14—Yes $676
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Mavericks $499—Nets $144—
Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $505—Yes $77
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
Temple Owls $4—Richmond Spiders $268—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6—Over $29—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6—Under $2—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $346K—No $463
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $38K—No $3.5K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $12K—Yes $1.0K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $6.4K—Lakers $89—
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K—No $3.7K—
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
Richmond Spiders $3.7K—Richmond Spiders $674—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $3.4K—Lakers $569—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $3.2K—Lakers $676—
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $2.2K—
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0K—No $20
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $884—Mavericks $228—
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $37—Yes $908
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—No $473—No $279
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Will Jaxson Dart have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
—No $441—No $263
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $612—Pistons $55—
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $182—Lakers $484—
Will Jalen Hurts have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
—No $495—No $159
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $12—Yes $580
Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—No $348—No $215
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $519—Yes $34
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $191—Over $186—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41—
North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
same side · consensus North Dakota State Bison
Bakersfield Roadrunners $33—Bakersfield Roadrunners $141—