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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmrayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)53% (2840–2508, n=5348)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.6M$6.3K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #46was PM monthly #981PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (90 of 119 open)78% (7 of 9 open)59% (13 of 22 open)56% (31 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=962, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 1044 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)2% (won 96% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)32% (won 98% of 337)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)51% (won 98% of 533)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)14% (won 97% of 149)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmrayvanmechelenRN1
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $16K—No $5No $1.2K
Buccaneers vs. Bears
opposite sides · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $2.4K—Bears $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11K—Under $2.2K
Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Moquegua
CD Moquegua $7.0K—Club Universitario de Deportes $8—
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.4K——Yes $98
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $3.2K——Celtics $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K—No $296—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
Penguins $14——Ducks $1.5K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $994——Over $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $349—Over $563—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $686—No $21—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $280—Yes $173—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $197—Under $2—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $136—SD Eibar $5—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6——Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17K——Coco Gauff $58K
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $11K——Heat $30K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $5.4K—Bears $20K
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $7.6K—Buccaneers $13K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9K——Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.7K——Over $1.0K
Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $5.1K——No $164
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2.2K——Over $2.5K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $2.5K——Celtics $1.4K
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $3.2K——Bucks $112
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
same side · consensus Pittsburgh Panthers
Pittsburgh Panthers $1.6K——Pittsburgh Panthers $1.5K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $89—Buccaneers $2.4K
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.7K——Under $499
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $15
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K—No $12—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $808——Over $14
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $370——Giles Hussey $24
Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $350—No $19—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1