Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Add:beachboy4 joseph00677 sainttroplay ndb1 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 00gringo00

Traders side by side
	aHjCz	BreakTheBank	RN1
Record (consensus markets)	32% (3674–7981, n=11655)	45% (545–663, n=1208)	47% (14145–15755, n=29900)
Consensus PnL	$1.0M	$11.2M	$14.8M
Tracked as	PM monthly #106	PM monthly #1	PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus	71% (112 of 158 open)	66% (72 of 109 open)	50% (23 of 46 open)
Strongest topics	NBA +10 pts n=15, ROI +13% Finance +4 pts n=16, ROI +20%	NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49% NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48% Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%	College Football +44 pts n=767, ROI +41% MLB +41 pts n=3174, ROI +40% NFL +40 pts n=651, ROI +37%
Weakest topic	Soccer −4 pts, n=1071	—	—
Settled positions, side won	33% of 2869 at avg 36¢, ROI +7%	97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%	94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢	62% (won 1% of 1765)	10% (won 79% of 58)	10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢	6% (won 8% of 161)	36% (won 98% of 200)	22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢	2% (won 58% of 48)	35% (won 99% of 194)	36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up	31% (won 98% of 895)	19% (won 100% of 107)	32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 51 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	aHjCz	BreakTheBank	RN1
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $168	Yes $82K	—
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No	No $180	Yes $79K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $182	Yes $54K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $178	Yes $46K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $183	Yes $39K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $184	Yes $34K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $184	Yes $33K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No	No $183	Yes $30K	—
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $26K	—
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $25K	—
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $185	Yes $24K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $24K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $20K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $185	Yes $17K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $177	Yes $14K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $186	Yes $14K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No	No $186	Yes $13K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $13K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $12K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $10K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $10K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $10K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? opposite sides · consensus No	No $186	Yes $10K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $9.8K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $8.2K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $186	Yes $8.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $6.5K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $6.4K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $6.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $6.0K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $5.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $187	Yes $4.3K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $178	Yes $4.3K	—
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $187	Yes $4.2K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $187	Yes $4.2K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $187	Yes $4.2K	—
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	No $186	Yes $4.0K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $178	Yes $4.0K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $178	Yes $2.2K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $178	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $178	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $178	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	No $187	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $187	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No	No $178	Yes $2.0K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	No $178	Yes $2.0K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No	No $169	Yes $2.0K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine? opposite sides · consensus No	No $178	Yes $2.0K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus Yes	No $186	Yes $2.0K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	No $187	Yes $1.9K	—