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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
xtxpleasecallme00gringo00BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)28% (6204–15812, n=22016)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (537–647, n=1184)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$97K$3.5M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #35 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus48% (103 of 213 open)no open consensus position73% (78 of 107 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicMLB −4 pts, n=51——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won37% of 6593 at avg 29¢, ROI +9%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢65% (won 9% of 4315)0%10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 67% of 504)0%36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 89% of 449)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 99% of 1325)0%20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketxtxpleasecallme00gringo00BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $106—No $407K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $219—Yes $80K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $811—Yes $39K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $285—No $35K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $265—No $444K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $391—Yes $171K—
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $82—Yes $56K—
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22—Yes $55K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $175—Yes $28K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $12—Yes $26K—
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $24K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $236—No $23K—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $19K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4—Yes $19K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $18K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $18K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $16K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $16K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $16K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $15K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $14K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $13K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4—Yes $13K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2—Yes $13K—
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $12K—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6—Yes $11K—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $11K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $11K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $11K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2—Yes $8.6K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2—Yes $8.6K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $7.9K—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1—Yes $7.2K—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2—Yes $6.4K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1—Yes $6.4K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1—Yes $5.9K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2—Yes $5.7K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $5.0K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1—Yes $5.0K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1—Yes $5.0K—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $193—Yes $4.1K—
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $152——Yes $4.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1—Yes $3.6K—
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2—Yes $1.2K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $222—No $607—
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4—Yes $760—
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4—Yes $120—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2—Yes $65—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4—Yes $34—