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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | googleplay | Multicoloured-Serf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 75% (594–197, n=791) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | 25% (14–42, n=56) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $19K | $391K | -$478K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #14 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (13 of 26 open) | 62% (142 of 230 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 60% (29 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 183 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 48% (won 100% of 88) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 42% (won 100% of 77) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 8% (won 100% of 14) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | googleplay | Multicoloured-Serf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $323 | Knicks $4.7K | Bucks $26K | Bucks $15K |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $15K | Kings $2 | — | Magic $18K |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2.6K | Celtics $133 | — | 76ers $2.6K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $582 | Knicks $2.6K | — | Bucks $109 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $28 | Jazz $185 | — | Heat $385 |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $42K | Heat $6.4K | — | Heat $74K |
| Western Michigan vs. Akron opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan | Akron $5.1K | — | — | Western Michigan $28K |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $17K | — | — | Heat $7.9K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $19K | Under $3.3K | — | — |
| Panthers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | — | Blue Jackets $165 | — | Panthers $21K |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | Kent State $203 | — | — | Bowling Green $20K |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $15K | — | — | Heat $310 |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | Magic $201 | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $2.0K | Bucks $584 | — | — |
| Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $103 | — | Under $2.3K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.4K | Under $606 | — | — |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.5K | — | Under $37K |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $32K | Celtics $7.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $248 | — | Magic $34K |
| Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Maple Leafs | — | Maple Leafs $19 | — | Maple Leafs $18K |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $18K | Over $5 | — | — |
| Wild vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $373 | — | Under $13K |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | — | — | 76ers $12K |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $4.9K | Bucks $433 | — | — |
| Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8 | — | Under $5.3K |
| Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $226 | — | Under $3.6K |
| Spread: Capitals (-1.5) same side · consensus Senators | — | Capitals $73 | — | Capitals $1.5K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $769 | — | Under $526 |
| Capitals vs. Senators same side · consensus Capitals | — | Capitals $48 | — | Capitals $984 |
| Devils vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $66 | — | Under $761 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $109 | — | Over $411 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $9 | Jazz $185 | — | — |
| Spread: Capitals (-2.5) same side · consensus Senators | — | Capitals $4 | — | Capitals $102 |
| Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $79 | — | Under $15 |
| Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $22 | — | Under $54 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Ohio | Miami (OH) $50 | Miami (OH) $26 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $55 | — | Over $2 |
| Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $44 | — | Under $1 |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) same side · consensus Maple Leafs | — | Maple Leafs $14 | — | Maple Leafs $16 |