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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpLikaseentomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (553–663, n=1216)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)43% (237–320, n=557)50% (15020–15050, n=30070)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$124K$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #22PM monthly #111PM monthly #56
Sides with the consensus55% (21 of 38 open)72% (157 of 217 open)65% (11 of 17 open)64% (94 of 146 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Soccer ±0 pts, n=23—
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%41% of 331 at avg 42¢, ROI +1%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)56% (won 1% of 187)8% (won 60% of 899)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)2% (won 14% of 7)21% (won 87% of 2444)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)3% (won 70% of 10)39% (won 95% of 4418)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)38% (won 98% of 127)32% (won 99% of 3709)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpLikaseentomnibus-076daa
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.8K—Under $15K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $17K——Yes $2.2K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $2.6K—Tomas Machac $1.1K
Will Al-Taawoun FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $421—Yes $1.9K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $325
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $10
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $365
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $840——Yes $149
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $87—Yes $749
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $379—Yes $73
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $380—Yes $23
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $341—Deborah Chiesa $19
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $12—Thunder $251
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - United21 Group B
opposite sides · consensus EYEBALLERS
—Esport Academy Copenhagen $3—EYEBALLERS $170
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $16—TheMongolz $137
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $124—Yes $17
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $52—Under $43
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K——Yes $117
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $17K——Yes $1.7K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K——Yes $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $1.6K
FC Pohang Steelers vs. Gamba Osaka: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.1K—Under $24
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.6K—No $1.7K
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.4K—No $797
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Oksana Selekhmeteva $108—Oksana Selekhmeteva $6.4K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $6.3K—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $157
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.6K—Yes $988
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.8K—Yes $1.7K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.9K—No $289
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.0K—No $84
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K——Yes $69
Brisbane Bullets vs. Perth Wildcats
same side · consensus Brisbane Bullets
—Brisbane Bullets $2.1K—Brisbane Bullets $302
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $730—Yes $1.5K
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $16
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $208
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $236
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $1.5K—Juan Bautista Torres $219
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5K—Yes $65
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $1
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $111—No $1.1K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Daniil Medvedev $1.1K—Daniil Medvedev $13
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K——Yes $59
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $1
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $914—Over $11
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $742—No $108
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $70—Over $759
Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
—Joaquin Aguilar $488—Joaquin Aguilar $272
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $50—Spurs $706
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $716—Over $5
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
—Giannicola Misasi $82—Giannicola Misasi $577