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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankpleaseletmealoneRememberAmalekWiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)96% (291–13, n=304)no settled market70% (143–62, n=205)63% (130–77, n=207)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$1.3K$494K$581K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #432PM monthly #149PM monthly #231
Sides with the consensus84% (37 of 44 open)79% (146 of 185 open)54% (83 of 154 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%———
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)———
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)———
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)———
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)———

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankpleaseletmealoneRememberAmalekWiretransferxyz
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $41K—Yes $75K—
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $211No $15K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15KYes $25——
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $527No $3.1K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306KYes $212——
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28K—Yes $383—
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $314Yes $7.5K—
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $26Yes $6.9K—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $30Yes $5.0K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8KYes $6——
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.1KYes $598—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $701Yes $7——
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $695Yes $5——
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $230Yes $77—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $189—
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $273Yes $4——
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200Yes $1——
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200Yes $1——
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200Yes $1——
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200Yes $1——
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200Yes $1——
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $142Yes $56—
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $187Yes $1——
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $171Yes $1——
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $95Yes $32—
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $80Yes $27—
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $59Yes $20—
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $49Yes $25—
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $53Yes $18—
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $47Yes $16—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $28——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $42Yes $4——
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $32Yes $11—
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $32Yes $11—
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $29Yes $10—
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $21Yes $11—
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15Yes $8—
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $17Yes $6—
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $17Yes $6—
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14Yes $5—
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11Yes $4—
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11Yes $4—
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $2—
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $2—
Will Person AK win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $2—
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $2—
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3Yes $1—
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3Yes $1—
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2Yes $2—