← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Elias.Thornwell | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (10078–2840, n=12918) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $84 | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (475 of 588 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 47% (8 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 3321 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 60% of 98) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 96% of 98) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 98% of 168) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 100% of 2957) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.