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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
End123FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)63% (332–191, n=523)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL-$29K$4.1M$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #820PM monthly #9PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus93% (27 of 29 open)69% (83 of 121 open)55% (36 of 66 open)67% (40 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −18 pts, n=18Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won64% of 443 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 13% of 62)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 42% of 45)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 63% of 135)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up45% (won 85% of 201)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEnd123FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4KUnder $67
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7K—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $752
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $686—No $929
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KUnder $28—
CD Unión La Calera vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $141—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $981Under $10—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Rio Ave FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $552Over $82—
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
—FK Kolos Kovalivka $217—FK Polissia $270
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $200Over $237—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280—Yes $6
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—76ers $17Bulls $3—
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.6KNo $6.0K—
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.7KOver $1.3K—
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $2.0K—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.8KOver $318—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $1.2K
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $1.3K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—76ers $1.1K76ers $1.3K—
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $1.8K76ers $347—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $872
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $125
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $31—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KOver $32—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $319—Under $718
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $367—Under $606
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $689—Yes $282
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $922—Over $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801