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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMadridTimendb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)49% (945–987, n=1932)65% (902–484, n=1386)50% (20538–20353, n=40891)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$12K$4.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #614PM monthly #101PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus73% (150 of 206 open)75% (27 of 36 open)71% (107 of 151 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 100% of 26)13% (won 15% of 168)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)17% (won 100% of 85)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)19% (won 100% of 94)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)59% (won 100% of 296)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMadridTimendb1UpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K——No $15K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2KNo $46——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9——Under $5.2K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $757
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $422——Under $768
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $548——Yes $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702——Over $5
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $615Over $86——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268——Athletic Club $345
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha
AC Sparta Praha $540AFC Bournemouth $10——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $116——No $289
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $362No $2——
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $280——Yes $6
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $7—Yes $175
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $103——Over $54
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $125——Yes $3
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $109——Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14K——Under $22K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K——No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K——No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Under $2.6K
Exact Score: FC København 0 - 5 SK Iberia 1999?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6KNo $24——
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $1.5K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $2.2KAnna Blinkova $39——
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $279——
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K——No $104
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $154
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $286No $815——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $411——Under $677
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $102——Under $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.0K——Over $7
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $746——Yes $270
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $831——No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174——Under $791
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $616No $8——
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $489No $66——
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $442No $78——
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $92No $345——
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $323Under $6——
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $292No $12——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $269Over $18——
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $255No $5——
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
No $206——No $42
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $135——Yes $95
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $84No $120——
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194Over $8——