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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TimeTravelersainttroplayCORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (1446–1352, n=2798)71% (10–4, n=14)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$156K$4.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #963 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus70% (114 of 162 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 4 open)72% (79 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won76% of 1749 at avg 36¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 45% of 624)0%9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 90% of 657)50% (won 100% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 97% of 352)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 116)0%2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTimeTravelersainttroplayCORGIIBreakTheBank
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $76——Bills $378K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $197——Yes $19K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $810——No $16K
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $198——Yes $1.3K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $350——No $753
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $279——No $590
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $72——Yes $272K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $199——Yes $258K
Browns vs. Steelers
same side · consensus Steelers
Browns $19——Browns $255K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $355——Yes $169K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $287——Yes $72K
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23——Yes $56K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K——Yes $39K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $180——Yes $37K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $198——Yes $26K
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $46——Yes $24K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $575——Yes $20K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $48——Yes $18K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $154——Yes $16K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $253——Yes $16K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $109——Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $58——Yes $14K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $377——Yes $14K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $70——Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $168——Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $81——Yes $13K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $723——Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $226——Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $182——Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $105——Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $35——Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $48——Yes $8.6K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $44——Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $85——Yes $5.0K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6K——Yes $3.0K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $204——Yes $4.4K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $140——Yes $4.1K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $239——Yes $2.5K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $265——Yes $2.3K
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $32——Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $30——Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22——Yes $2.1K
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $259——Yes $1.8K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $266——Yes $967
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $26——Yes $943
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $820——Yes $118
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $400——Yes $193
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $402——Yes $164
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $235——Yes $28
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $47——Yes $171