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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| -Pain | Flaznorp | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (294–180, n=474) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $247K | $4.1M | $14.9M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #486 | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #54 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 73% (99 of 136 open) | 57% (38 of 67 open) | 78% (7 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 452 at avg 56¢, ROI +10% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 23% of 73) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 50% of 117) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 82% of 137) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 98% of 125) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
33 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | -Pain | Flaznorp | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.6K | Under $2.7K | Over $44K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus T1 | T1 $2 | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $744K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | Over $3.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Nets $903 | Mavericks $1.7K | — |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.4K | Over $136 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $1.0K | Kings $631 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | Yes $315 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $101 | Celtics $921 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | No $524 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Nets $155 | Mavericks $763 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 | — |
| Penguins vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Ducks | — | Penguins $48 | Ducks $834 | — |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $817 | Over $11 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $500 | Bucks $49 | — |
| Flyers vs. Flames: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $130 | Under $167 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | No $11 | — |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $76 | Over $155 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | Over $29 | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | T1 $14K | — | — | T1 $863K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $273 | — | Bilibili Gaming $386K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $3.9K | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $154K |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $17K | Coco Gauff $58K | — |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $10K | Timberwolves $49K | — |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $3.3K | — | Pelicans $52K |
| Celtics vs. Bucks same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $3.9K | Celtics $33K | — |
| Nets vs. Mavericks same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $4.6K | Mavericks $18K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.9K | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K | — |
| Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $8.2K | No $222 | — |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.8K | Under $2.7K | — |
| Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.6K | Over $1.0K | — |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.3K | Under $1.2K | — |
| Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.3K | Over $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-30.5) same side · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $3.0K | Bucks $112 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Mavericks $1.9K | Mavericks $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-9.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Mavericks $1.2K | Mavericks $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-11.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Mavericks $1.2K | Mavericks $592 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $421 | Celtics $1.1K | — |
| Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | No $7 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $255 | Celtics $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-10.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Mavericks $757 | Mavericks $482 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Clippers $426 | Clippers $331 | — |