← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | lightningbolts | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | 54% (208–175, n=383) | 100% (5–0, n=5) | 66% (497–255, n=752) |
| Consensus PnL | -$252K | $232K | $5.9K | -$131K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #995 | PM monthly #48 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (14 of 33 open) | 71% (138 of 195 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (103 of 173 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 6 at avg 65¢, ROI +32% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 50% (won 100% of 3) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 33% (won 100% of 2) | 51% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
35 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | lightningbolts | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo vs. Ball State opposite sides · consensus Ball State | Buffalo $118K | Ball State $1.5K | — | Buffalo $11K |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $789 | Under $43K | — | Over $54 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Knicks $63 | Cavaliers $25K | — | Knicks $265 |
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $169 | Pelicans $7.5K | — | Nets $8.8K |
| UMass vs. Toledo opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Toledo $1.7K | UMass $975 | — | UMass $138 |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $15K | Raptors $14K | — | Raptors $450 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $6 | Sacramento State $1.2K | — | Sacramento State $1.6K |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $23 | Cavaliers $2.3K | — | Cavaliers $352 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $96 | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $2.2K | — | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $16 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Wizards $21K | — | Pacers $18K |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $355 | Under $33K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $27K | — | Over $472 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nuggets $18K | — | Grizzlies $212 |
| Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $12K | — | — | Over $2.7K |
| Spurs vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Bulls $127 | Spurs $12K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | Over $9.7K | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $8.0K | — | Over $841 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers: O/U 146.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.6K | — | Over $12 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $7.7K | — | Bulls $197 |
| Rangers vs. Flames opposite sides · consensus Rangers | Rangers $710 | Flames $4.8K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.0K | — | Under $279 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Nets $3.4K | — | Pelicans $86 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Sacramento State $2.7K | — | Central Michigan $456 |
| Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Michigan Wolverines opposite sides · consensus Michigan Wolverines | — | Marquette Golden Eagles $928 | — | Michigan Wolverines $1.3K |
| Spread: Lakers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Bucks $1.5K | — | Lakers $344 |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | Toledo $520 | — | — | UMass $1.3K |
| Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. IU Indy Jaguars opposite sides · consensus IU Indy Jaguars | — | Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles $3 | — | IU Indy Jaguars $1.3K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $616 | — | Nets $150 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $305 | — | Under $415 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $205 | — | Nuggets $389 |
| Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $483 | — | Under $28 |
| Spread: Buffalo (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buffalo | — | Buffalo $439 | — | Ball State $7 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $53 | — | Under $307 |
| Spread: IU Indy Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles | — | IU Indy Jaguars $2 | — | Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles $346 |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $260 | — | Under $85 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $111 | — | Grizzlies $110 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $12 | — | Over $194 |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $201 | — | Over $3 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $10 | — | Over $176 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Nets $52 | — | Pelicans $62 |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Sam Houston Bearkats opposite sides · consensus Sam Houston Bearkats | — | Pepperdine Waves $60 | — | Sam Houston Bearkats $42 |
| Spread: Ball State (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buffalo | — | Buffalo $7 | — | Ball State $67 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Nets $25 | — | Pelicans $38 |
| William & Mary Tribe vs. Florida Atlantic Owls opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic Owls | — | Florida Atlantic Owls $3 | — | William & Mary Tribe $23 |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Magic $87K | Magic $7.3K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $26K | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $3.2K | Bucks $12K | — | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $13K | — | Over $1.2K |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $11K | — | Under $955 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $9.9K | — | — | Raptors $607 |