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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (5574–5163, n=10737)52% (6608–6142, n=12750)50% (15593–15689, n=31282)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$504K$3.6M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #103PM monthly #10PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)76% (81 of 106 open)76% (85 of 112 open)56% (62 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Golf −2 pts, n=108Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 19% of 1341)29% (won 11% of 465)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)35% (won 46% of 3607)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 61% of 3523)16% (won 62% of 260)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)17% (won 86% of 1699)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpomnibus-076daa
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $11K—Yes $41
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25KYes $3.3K—Yes $131
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $844—Yes $223
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K—Yes $59
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2KYes $320—Yes $60
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $22KNo $4.8K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15KYes $4.4K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $4.8K——
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.0KUnder $2.6K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KUnder $2.4K
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $268Yes $3.3K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K——Yes $169
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.4KYes $85
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.6KYes $16
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $300Under $585
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $504Yes $358
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $647Yes $175
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $596Under $207
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $297Yes $154
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $203Over $185
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $366Yes $3
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $326—Yes $4
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $254Over $32
Spread: Tasmania JackJumpers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Zealand Breakers
——Tasmania JackJumpers $69New Zealand Breakers $212
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $132Yes $36
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $134Yes $1
Energetik Mingechevir vs. Shahdag Qusar FK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $120Yes $2
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $13K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu
same side · consensus Claire Liu
——Claire Liu $17KClaire Liu $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $1.6K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.3KYes $6.8K——
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
——Yosuke Watanuki $6.9KYosuke Watanuki $264
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $5.2KNo $179
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.0KYes $149——
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.8K—Yes $93
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.8KYes $6
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $66Yes $1.3K——
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $536No $450
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $875No $39
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $732—Yes $3
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
——No $628No $5
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $415—Yes $117
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25Yes $427——
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $408—Yes $37
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $394—Yes $45
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $324No $45
Counter-Strike: your end vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
same side · consensus Low Cortisol
——Low Cortisol $189Low Cortisol $179
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
same side · consensus Ipek Oz
——Diletta Cherubini $282Diletta Cherubini $8
Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5)
same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir
——Energetik Mingechevir $243Energetik Mingechevir $2