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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | NM-P | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 56% (8226–6354, n=14580) | 50% (26157–25785, n=51942) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.1M | -$212K | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #436 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 58% (15 of 26 open) | 66% (41 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 5269 at avg 72¢, ROI +29% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 5% (won 100% of 274) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 18% (won 100% of 930) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 18% (won 100% of 960) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 59% (won 100% of 3105) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | NM-P | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.7K | No $1.4K | No $15K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $14K | Yes $236 | No $3.1K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | No $1.3K | Yes $153 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Under $1.2K | Under $20K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | No $24 | No $1.2K |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula opposite sides · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $17K | Jessica Pegula $555 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $752 |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.3K | — | Over $535 | — |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $686 | — | No $929 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Over $5 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $25 | Yes $674 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $67 |
| Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka | — | FK Kolos Kovalivka $217 | — | FK Polissia $270 |
| Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $350 | Yes $8 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Athletic Club $226 |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $280 | — | Yes $6 |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $110 | Over $159 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $138 | — | Yes $2 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $2 | No $12 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | No $5.4K |
| Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $8.1K | No $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Under $2.0K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | No $117 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $319 | — | Under $718 |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | Over $15 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | No $174 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $696 | — | Yes $282 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | — | Under $801 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $367 | — | Under $606 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $872 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $922 | — | Over $7 |
| Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $216 | No $2 | — |
| Will Tamworth FC win on 2026-10-23? same side · consensus No | — | No $133 | — | No $46 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $112 | — | Yes $52 |
| Will Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $148 | No $9 | — |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $136 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 1 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $67 | No $53 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | — | Under $12 |